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Bridgeriver Advisors LLC - July 2022
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JULY 2022
Egg
Navigating Risk in Today’s Market Does Your Risk Tolerance Change?
Nobody can predict the future — but there is one tried-and-true fact about the stock market that all finance professionals know very well. Even if it takes some time, the market always plunges and always rises.
That’s why you can’t let the market dictate your risk tolerance.
You might not realize it’s happening, either. For example, when I meet clients while the market is doing very well, they will often tell me that they have an overall big risk tolerance. They’re okay about losing money. That could be because they’re currently making money, and they’re optimistic about making more. On the other hand, when I meet clients while the market is tanking, they might describe their overall risk tolerance as very conservative. They’re nervous and don’t want to lose anything, especially in the current market.
According to Hartford Funds, there have been 26 bear markets since 1928 (with the current market possibly marking number 27). After every single bear market, a bull market has followed — and the gains can be tremendous. During bear markets, stocks will drop by around 36%. During a bull market, stocks tend to rise about 114%.
It’s hard to have peace-of-mind if your risk tolerance keeps changing. How do you know what your actual risk tolerance is, no matter how the market is doing?
Scott Nations, president of the financial engineering firm NationsShares and author of “The Anxious Investor: Mastering the Mental Game of Investing,” recently talked to CNBC about steading the course in a bear market: “Investors tend to overreact to bad news.” It might seem safer to react and pull your money out — but that’s not necessarily the case, and significant >Page 1 Page 2 Page 3 Page 4
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